निफ्टी आणि रिकामटेकडे उद्योग (अस्मादिकांचे )

हा लेख, टाइमपास म्हणून केलेल्या एका प्रयोगाचा आहे, सिरिअसली घेणे /न घेणे, वाचकांच्या मर्जीवर.
वाचकांनी गुंतवणूक हि मान्यताप्राप्त तज्ज्ञांकडून करावी. इथे उल्लेखलेली भांडवली बाजारातील गुंतवणूक साधने फक्त उदारहणादाखल दिलेली आहे. खरेदी विक्रीचा कोणताही सल्ला मानू नये. फक्त चर्चेपुरता वापर करावा. उत्तरदायित्वास नकार लागू.

तर डे ट्रेडिंग चा एक धागा वाचला, म्हटलं सुट्टी आहे.. स्वस्त इंटरनेट आहे .. ए आय साधने उपलब्ध आहेत .. मिपा सारखा प्लॅटफॉर्म आहे ...
तर क्यू नही ... ?

तर मी काय केले, मागील वीस वर्षांचे प्रति मासी (पर मन्थ ) निफ्टी चा परतावा (रिटर्न ) गोळा केला , आणि कृत्रिम बुद्धिमत्तेला भारावला ... आणि म्हटलं , "बाबा तुही वाच , मलाही सांग तुला काय दिसतंय ते "

हो पण आमचा बाबा फर्डा विंग्रजी बोलतो त्यामुळे पुढील माहिती जी त्यांनी मला दिली ती इथे मांडतो.
(टीप : जास्ती सिरिअसली घेऊ नका हा लेख, धागा लेखकास टाइम पास करण्याचा असल्याने धागा काढलाय )

असो ... इदं मम् ..

Mean: 1.14%
Median: 1.10%
Mode: 1.10%
Standard Deviation: 5.74%
1st Quartile (Q1): -2.03%
3rd Quartile (Q3): 4.3%
Interquartile Range (IQR): 6.32%
The distribution chart above shows the returns in percentage format with mean, median, mode, Q1, and Q3 clearly marked for easier interpretation in the context of percentages.

1. Overview of Returns
Over the period measured, the average return was about 1.14%, which gives a positive but modest indication of performance.
The median return also sits at 1.10%, indicating that half of all observed returns are above this value and half are below. Interestingly, both the mean and median align closely (1.14% vs. 1.10%), which suggests a balanced distribution with no extreme skew.\

2. Return Stability
The standard deviation of returns is 5.74%, showing us that while the average return is positive, individual returns fluctuate significantly from this average.
This variability means that while some returns might be comfortably positive, others could dip into negative territory or swing higher, and stakeholders should be prepared for some performance volatility.

3. Exploring Quartiles (Q1 and Q3)
The 1st quartile (Q1), or the 25th percentile, is at -2.03%, indicating that 25% of returns fall below this level. This means a considerable portion of returns were slightly negative, underscoring the variability observed in the standard deviation.
The 3rd quartile (Q3), or the 75th percentile, sits at 4.3%, suggesting that 75% of returns are below this level and only the top 25% of returns go above it. Thus, only a quarter of the time did returns exceed 4.3%, with most returns clustering below this level.

4. Interquartile Range (IQR)
The interquartile range (IQR) is 6.32%. This figure, representing the middle 50% of returns, shows the typical spread within which most returns fall, from -2.03% to 4.3%.
This range suggests that while the average return is positive, there is a significant spread that captures both low and high values, meaning returns might vary noticeably from one instance to the next.

5. Mode of Returns
Interestingly, the most frequently occurring return, or mode, is 1.10%, closely matching the median and average values. This alignment reinforces a pattern where returns are centered around this 1% region, though individual data points do vary.

Insights and Implications
Positives: The average return is positive, suggesting a general trend of growth or profitability over time. This is good news for stakeholders looking for modest yet steady returns.
Volatility: The spread and standard deviation indicate variability, which means returns can occasionally swing into negative territory. Stakeholders should be aware that some returns will deviate from the average, particularly within the -2.03% to 4.3% range.
Investment Strategy Implications: Given the modest average return and variability, stakeholders might consider balancing these investments with more stable assets to manage risk or employing strategies that capitalize on the occasional high returns.

Final Takeaway
This return distribution tells a story of a generally positive yet somewhat volatile investment with periods of modest growth punctuated by swings both above and below the average. This profile may suit stakeholders with a moderate risk tolerance, looking for long-term, positive returns without expecting extreme gains.